Speaking at IUMI conference online from Seoul, Rama Chandran, chairperson on the Ocean Hull Committee expressed concern over the long-term sustainability of the hull and machinery insurance sector.
As explained, whilst it is encouraging to see the 2020 premium base growing from the previous year alongside improvements in loss ratios, shipping mustn’t forget that is operating from a very low position and that the premium base has only recently begun to creep upwards following a sustained decline since 2012.
Namely, the improvement in loss ratios for 2020 largely stems from reduced shipping activity during the recent COVID period and a subsequent lack of claims.
Looking ahead, Rama Chandran continued: “The first half of this year (2021) has seen a potential deterioration in the overall premium base from 2020 – it continues to develop, but growth appears to have slowed, or even plateaued since 2020. This is likely due to increased market capacity, particularly from London. As shipping activity returns to pre-COVID levels, it is inevitable that we’ll see a rise in claims and that will dampen the more encouraging loss ratios IUMI reported for the 2020 period. Overall, the ocean hull sector is improving but it is not yet certain how sustainable that improvement will be.”
In addition to long-term sustainability, IUMI’s Ocean Hull committee has identified three major concerns for the coming period:
COVID continues to impact seafarers with some vessels reporting up to 50% of crew affected. Challenges remain over seafarer vaccinations and the ability to switch crew at certain ports. Through no fault of the seafarer, many vessels are sailing with crew on extended contracts which has the potential for crew fatigue possibly leading to an increased casualty rate.
Fires onboard large containerships continue to impact hull, cargo and P&I insurance and, sadly, have resulted in tragic loss of life and environmental damage. The main cause appears to be wrongly declared or non-declaration of dangerous cargoes. Much work is being done to address the issue and IUMI is at the forefront of lobbying for change.
Decarbonisation of shipping is underway but remains a long way from reality. Changes to fuel and propulsion types will impact the hull sector and underwriters must be in a position to understand the risks before adequate insurance products can be developed. Technology and infrastructure must be developed and crews must be trained appropriately.
Like others in the industry, IUMI is calling for a holistic industry response, together with governmental support, to achieve a low carbon future.
