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Is the strength in the MR market sustainable?

Analysis by Poten & Partners According to Poten, several years ago, the general thought seemed to be that product tankers were the future, while crude tankers were expected to have a hard time for the foreseeable future. The idea was that refinery expansions in India and the Middle East were going to lead to growing product tanker demand while the growing oil production in the US was going to curtail crude tanker demand. As MR rates have improved significantly in the last six months, the question arises if this is due to fundamental changes that are finally falling into place or whether it is the result of a seasonal upturn that could fizzle out over the next months.In order to analyse this Poten looked at the trading patterns of MR tankers in the period of Oct 2014 to Feb 2015 and compared them to the same period in the prior year. As a proxy for the trading patterns we used the reported clean spot market fixtures for MR tankers. In this five month period, we saw a significant increase in clean MR fixtures: 2,259 in the last 5 months vs 1,869 in the same period in 2013/14.Looking at the details, ...

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