In its July 2019 Short-Term Energy Outlook, the US Energy Information Administration expects Henry Hub natural gas spot prices for June, July, and August this year to average $2.37 per million British thermal units. If this happens, this price would be the lowest summer average Henry Hub natural gas price since 1998.
According to EIA, Argentina’s domestic natural gas production has been steadily increasing in the past three years, due to the increased production coming from the Neuquén Basin’s Vaca Muerta shale and tight gas play. Its production surpassed the 1 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in December 2018.
EIA forecasts that global liquid fuels consumption, which averaged 99.9 million b/d in 2018, will increase by 1.1 million b/d in 2019 and by 1.4 million b/d in 2020. EIA’s global oil consumption forecast is based on global gross domestic product, depending on country-level forecasts from Oxford Economics.
According to EIA, the US crude oil production and lease condensate, accomplished a milestone in April 2019, with 12.2 million barrels per day. April 2019 is the first time that monthly US crude oil production surpassed the 12 million bpd. This record follows August’s 2018 record, when US crude oil production surpassed the 11 million bdp.
As EIA informs, the Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most important oil chokepoint due to the large volumes of oil that flow through the strait. In fact, in 2018, its daily oil flow averaged 21 million barrels per day (b/d), or the equivalent of about 21% of global petroleum liquids consumption.
US imports of crude oil from members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in March 2019 totaled 1.5 million barrels per day (b/d), their lowest level since March 1986, according to data provided by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Wells drilled horizontally into tight oil and shale gas formations continue to account for an increasing share of crude oil and natural gas production in the US, according to EIA. In 2004, horizontal wells accounted for about 15% of US crude oil production in tight oil formations.
As EIA informs, US production of hydrocarbon gas liquids reached 5 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2018, which is an increase of over 0.5 million b/d (13%) compared to 2017 levels. HGLs accounted for more than a quarter of total US petroleum products output in 2018.
As EIA informs, during winter 2018-2019, imports of LNG at terminals serving New England played an important role in moderating natural gas prices in the region. LNG imports are regasified at these terminals and then sent to natural gas distribution networks. Dpot natural gas prices in New England are more volatile during winter months, as cold weather drives increasing regional natural gas demand.
EIA informed that net income for 43 US oil producers totaled $28 billion in 2018, which is a five-year high. According to the net income, 2018 was the most profitable year for these US oil producers since 2013, in spite of crude oil prices that were lower in 2018 than in 2013 on an annual average basis. These companies accounted for about one-third of total US crude oil and natural gas liquids production in the fourth quarter of 2018.
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