Oversupply may hit box ships
Weak demand growth in the European and US economies The container shipping industry is heading towards a prolonged slump that could last longer than the 2009 downturn, warns Shipping Gazette, quoting Paris-based maritime consultancy Alphaliner.The current slump, unlike the 2009 recession, is caused by an oversupply of capacity and weak demand growth in the European and US economies. In the absence of a strong rebound of the Western economies, trade growth is expected to remain behind fleet growth for quite some time, it is said. The lull in containership orders between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2010 brought the order book down from 60 per cent to 26 per cent of the fleet, but the strong recovery in 2010 led many shipping to add to capacity hoping a sustained recovery for the industry.This triggered a new wave of containership orders and the 2.3 million TEU of capacity contracted since June 2010. Some industry sources continue to underestimate the impact of the excess supply problem, citing supply growth figures of 7 per cent for 2011 and 2012 and a capacity shortage in 2013 but the report emphases that the growth rate for 2011 and 2012 will ...
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